| BRA↓ NOR→ | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.1 | 4.4 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 7.3 | 11.0 | 6.2 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 7.9 | 9.7 | 6.0 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 5.1 | 6.2 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Market | Model | Kalshi at freeze |
| Brazil win (reg) | 53% | 55% |
| Draw (reg) | 24% | 26% |
| Norway win (reg) | 23% | 20% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% | 34% |
| Both teams to score | 61% | 62% |
| Brazil wins by 2+ | 31% | 30% |
| Norway wins by 2+ | 10% | 6% |