| USA↓ BEL→ | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.4 | 6.6 | 7.6 | 5.2 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| 1 | 3.8 | 10.2 | 9.6 | 6.6 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| 2 | 2.9 | 6.0 | 6.1 | 4.2 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Market | Model | Kalshi at freeze |
| United States win (reg) | 22% | 36% |
| Draw (reg) | 23% | 28% |
| Belgium win (reg) | 55% | 34% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% | 34% |
| Both teams to score | 64% | 62% |
| United States wins by 2+ | 10% | 20% |
| Belgium wins by 2+ | 33% | 16% |