Regulation·Time

Match predictions

frozen pre-match model prices · generated Jul 21, 12:45 PM PDT

Every match page is generated from an immutable frozen JSON committed to this repository about an hour before kickoff. During live matches the live matrix updates in near-real-time. Track record →

All probabilities are for regulation time only (90' + stoppage; extra time and penalties excluded — Kalshi settles these markets the same way) · model v1.6+M5: Dixon-Coles fit on 2026-cycle qualifiers + WC2022 + tournament with precision-weighted rating deshrinkage (M5, 2026-07-11) + open international results (friendlies, Nations League, continental cups; neutral-venue aware); hosts (USA/MEX/CAN) auto-qualified — no qualifier matches · market = Kalshi orderbook mid · not betting advice